9/ 03/01 -- Vancouver:
Dubai is up and running. In spite of the
warnings and fears about foot and mouth
disease spreading to the UAE, the DubaiWorld
Cup is a go for this coming weekend. A card
of six major stakes races will be available
for local handicappers via satellite at
Hastings Park and other Teletheatre outlets
across the province. This is the world's
richest race day, with $15.25 million up
for grabs.
It will not be an easy day for handicappers.
The fields are full of experienced runners
competing against each other for the top
titles. The outcome of these races will
determine which are the greatest thoroughbreds
in the world. And as I look at the list
of contenders, I am completely baffled and
frustrated in my attempt to single out the
leading horses in each event. So, wearing
my heart on my sleeve, here are my horses
for the six big events.
First up is the Dubai World Cup, which will
be a hotly contested race with some of the
world's best lining up to gain the crown.
Casting an eye around for the three likely
top runners, I see Best of the Bests as
a good front-runner for the title. Captain
Steve may also have some kick in this race,
if he can perform anything close to his
last race. Aptitude is a horse I respect
very much, and he has been training very
well, and may just hang on for a piece of
the money. Another horse to watch, as a
possible spoiler, is Early Warning, who
could overturn the apple cart at the wire.
In the Dubai Duty Free, I must give proper
respect to the New Zealand mare, Sunline.
She's been running very big races back to
back, and shows no sign of slowing down.
The fact that she's going against the boys
doesn't frighten me a bit, or her. She can
handle all they can dish up, with power
to spare at the end. One horse to watch
in here might be Jim and Tonic, who is very
capable at his best. Also to be factored
in will be FairyKing Prawn, a horse that's
been very consistent in Hong Kong. The possible
spoiler in here could be Ladies Din, who
has been well prepped for this race. But
my top money must go on Sunline, because
I can't see anything else to match her.
Next, we move along to the Dubai Golden
Shaheen. This is really a tough call. But
I will take a chance and spot Bertolini
for the win. This horse is very capable,
and may just get the job done. Another horse
that merits some serious attention is Caller
One. This guy may just have a shot in here.Then,
just for good measure, I'm going to include
Nuclear Debate, who should not be sold too
short.
Moving along to the Dubai Sheema Classic,
Fantastic Light jumps off the page at me.This
horses is very game and has proven himself
time and againin Europe. He is one of the
best horses anywhere in the world. Mutafaweq
also deserves serious attention and respect
from the betting public. My third pick has
to be Catella, who ran so gamely in last
year's Breeder's Cup. If she is ready to
roll we might just see one extremely good
race from her.
She too can best the boys, hands down. The
only possible upset runner I see in here
is Caitano, who no one should foolishly
overlook.
For the UAE Derby, with one of my favorite
horses, Street Cry. This guy has fire in
his belly, and probably won't stop until
he's forced to. His connections have been
aiming him at this race for months, so look
out. I don't believe there is another horse
in this field that can touch him. When looking
for the other two probables in this race,
I see Express Tour and No Excuses Needed,
as the likeliest contenders. If I had to
pick a possible
spoiler it would have to be Lido Palace,
trained by Bobby Frankel.
Finally, we have the Godolphin Mile, in
which China Visit just might be ready to
run the big race we've all been waiting
for. This horse ran badly in the USA, but
seems to prefer Dubai. Curule is another
horse I'll be rooting for. He might have
something to say about the outcome of this
event. And Festival of Light should be competitive
enough to give handicappers a shot at some
decent odds. If you're casting an eye around
for a spoiler in here,why not consider Regal
Thunder, who is game enough to fit the bill.
For those brave enough to want to play Dubai,
all hands will have to be on deck by 7:30
AM this coming Saturday morning. And, for
those early birds to Hastings Park, all
customers turning up for Dubai will get
free admission to the park and a complimentary
coffee.
Returning to North America for a moment,
fans have been jumping on the Monarchos
bandwagon lately, after his big win in the
Florida Derby two weekends ago. This horse
seems unstoppable at the moment, having
won five straight. I to am impressed with
this guy, but will reserve my judgmenton
him until I see more. Two other horses drawing
some attention, as we approach the Kentucky
Derby, are Congaree and Point Given, both
trained by Bob Baffert. I agree that they're
two nice horses, but are they Derby material?
Only time will tell. The fact is, we all
have to play the waiting game over the next
month.
Finally, a few choice words about Hong Kong
are in order. Handicappers will have noticed
the unusual number of long shots stealing
the show at the Sha Tin over the past few
weeks. One theory as to why so many of the
better horses are failing may be that they're
getting tired. They tend to run their horses
hard in Hong Kong, giving them only a few
days off between races.
The South China Morning Post suggested another
reason why things over there aren't panning
out. Pointing to the final race at the Sha
Tim last Saturday, John Philp stated that
the jockeys had not been competitive enough,
allowing veteran jockey Eric Legrix to bring
Ever Glory under the wire first at 72-1.
The pace was much slower than usual, and
the riders on the live mounts seemed to
be holding their horses back longer than
necessary, waiting until the last 500 meters
to make their moves. As Philp saw the race,
Aucash should have won the race easily,
but was hindered by a slow pace and traffic
trouble, which the rider made no effort
to avoid, causing an overall bad ride.
As experience has taught me, the Sha Tin
becomes very difficult to handicap towards
the meet's end. Still, if you do happen
to hook into a winner at this time of year,
it usually pays big money.
Until my next column, have fun handicapping
Dubai. And do e-mail us your comments, views,
and ideas. We're always glad to hear from
you.